Everyone complains about political polls, but let’s be honest: They are hard to stay away from, especially when your candidate is leading. However, when they aren’t, new polls can be painful to read about.
We keep hearing that Hillary Clinton is outpolling Trump, although often this is barley above the margin of error. A journalism professor writing for the Huffington Post (of all places) explains that even Clinton’s slender lead isn’t something Democrats should take for granted:
The average of the latest national polls shows Clinton with about a 5 percent lead over her Republican opponent, Donald Trump. But Trump has had a rough two weeks, and has now shaken up his campaign staff. Gone is campaign chairman Paul Manafort, who was brought in to make the campaign more professional. On Tuesday, Trump brought on Breitbart News executive chairman Steve Bannon as campaign CEO, and Kellyanne Conway as campaign manager.
Professor Joe Peyronnin explains why those two additions to Trump’s team are such game changers and could have either a negative or positive effect on the candidate’s levels of support. However:
Clinton has lots of perceived baggage. She has been dogged by scandals most of her public career. Most recently, the Clinton Foundation has come under intense scrutiny for possibly trading favors for donations during Clinton’s term as secretary of state. Sunday’s New York Times reported that, “The Clinton Foundation has accepted tens of millions of dollars from countries that the State Department — before, during and after Mrs. Clinton’s time as secretary — criticized for their records on sex discrimination and other human-rights issues.”
For sure, the team of Bannon and Conway will attack Clinton mercilessly on trust in an effort to disqualify her from being president, while helping to improve Trump’s position in the polls by keeping him “on message” as the candidate for “change.” Expectations for Trump doing so are low, so any improvement can build momentum. Bannon and Conway know the media prefers a horse race.
The article is not exactly a glowing verdict for Clinton’s chances in November, and this is coming from a media source that is widely read by her presumed supporters.
Source: Huffington Post