This is what you call a political tsunami.
Even the smartest analysts out there could not have foreseen such a massive shift in the race landscape, and with this momentum it looks like one candidate may be unstoppable going into August.
While it’s always important to take opinion polls with a grain of salt, even the left-leaning website FiveThirtyEight gives IPSOS an “A-“ score for accuracy. This makes these latest results even more shocking:
Republican nominee Donald Trump gained 17 points in roughly two weeks, according to the Reuters online tracking poll.
On July 14, 2016, Trump was 15 points behind Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton 46.5 percent to 31.5 percent. However as of July 26, 2016, Trump closed that 15 point gap and is now up two points over Clinton, 40.2 percent to 38.5 percent.
The Reuters/IPSOS polling data was fairly consistent during the Republican primaries — keeping Trump in the lead from February through May, which proved to be accurate.
As we enter into August, it remains to be seen whether or not Hillary Clinton will receive any traditional post-convention “bump,” but with all the dissent from Bernie supporters, it is unlikely that their convention gained any support or convinced any Republicans to cross the aisle.