The last two weeks have been a wild roller coaster. Trump took a commanding lead going into his convention, but the polls started sliding in Hillary’s direction after her convention bounce took effect.
The two have been at each other’s throats over scandals that just won’t go away, from Trump’s handling of Khan to Hillary’s email lies, one after another. The media has dog-piled on Trump, and after a week of bad polling numbers, both nationally and in swing states, they are swirling stories of the RNC turning on him and his entire campaign being dead on arrival.
This new poll, then, is entirely unexpected in this hyper-charged atmosphere. Reuters reports their numbers:
Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton’s lead over Republican rival Donald Trump narrowed to less than 3 percentage points, according to a Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll released on Friday, down from nearly eight points on Monday.
About 42 percent of likely voters favored Clinton, to Trump’s 39 percent, according to the July 31-Aug. 4 online poll of 1,154 likely voters. The poll had a credibility interval of plus or minus 3 percentage points, meaning that the results suggest the race is roughly even.
Even Reuters seems baffled by their own number and are trying to explain why Trump is not done for good.
The reasons behind the shift were unclear.
Trump, in recent days, however, has sought to refocus. On Friday he announced his economic policy advisory team, said he would deliver an economic policy speech early next week, and was expected to endorse U.S. House of Representatives Speaker Paul Ryan, the top U.S. elected Republican, who is seeking his 10th term in Congress.
Reuters is probably right on this: the more Trump focuses on the issues that won him the Republican nomination, the clearer the choice will be for Americans. Total incompetence…or successful businessman? Higher taxes for the middle class…or lower taxes for all? A continuation of America’s transformation under Obama…or a candidate carrying the conservative torch of the people?
And everyone needs to remember, as high or low as your candidate goes in the polls over the next three months, only one poll matters: the one that every American participates in on November 8th.