There are many ways to look at an election. There are a million little data points that the so-called experts observe and factor into their analysis. From polls to earned media to fundraising, the sheer volume of information can be overwhelming.
Of course, some of that data will prove prescient while some will prove nothing. The only piece of data that ultimately matters is the number of electors that each candidate wins on election day.
Bu that doesn’t mean that all of the information we gain leading up to that point isn’t important, especially when it shows a clear trend that favors one party’s chances over the other.
At least three battleground states that Democrats thought were easy wins have now moved into the questionable category for the left-leaning of mind, giving Republican Donald Trump a hefty political bump in the standing department as he goes forward.
So what three states are we talking about?
“Republicans added hundreds of thousands of voters to the rolls since 2012 in states including Florida and Arizona, and narrowed the gap in North Carolina,” the Associated Press reported, citing an internal look at the data.
Call it the Trump Factor – but the billionaire businessman’s message of America first, both at the borders and with trade deals, is really resonating, while Democratic contender Hillary Clinton’s seems to be faltering a bit, due in part to failing health and ongoing trust issues related to her email investigation.
Another state, Iowa, seems at a dead heat.
“[There], Republicans prevented Democrats from surpassing them, aided by a court ruling upholding a ban on voting by ex-felons, who often register as Democrats,” AP reported. “Iowa is a bright spot for Trump among battleground states, with Republicans now holding an edge of 19,000 total registered voters over Democrats.”
Clinton’s campaign is calling for widespread get-out-the-vote rallies, focusing on the non-white communities and on the youth. But so far, it’s a desperate, yet largely unsuccessful, all-courts press.
In Florida, “Democrats have seen their advantage shrink to 258,000 active voters, down from 535,000 in 2012,” AP said.
In North Carolina, Democrats are still in the lead when it comes to registration counts, but not by much. And in Arizona, Republicans currently have the lead in the registration rolls by about 159,000, AP found.
Source: Associated Press