Trump supporters have long taken it as an article of faith that their candidate can win in November, just as he saw off 16 experienced and talented opponents in the primary.
Trump shocked the professional political world, however, with his improbable rise from reality star and billionaire investor to achieve this success.
Many of those same experts are also po-poing his chances of beating Clinton in the general election, for reasons that make perfect sense in the conventional mindset of the Washington chattering class.
But if there is one thing that Donald Trump has proven it is that he lives outside conventional thinking and can upset expectations at every turn.
Now some of the experts are taking a closer look and coming to a startling conclusion: Trump can win!
Politico has taken an exhaustive state by state analysis of the election and published a comprehensive guide to Trump’spath to the White House.
It’s a terrifying moment for Democrats: Hillary Clinton’s double-digit lead in national polls has evaporated and panic is beginning to set in. Polls now show Donald Trump ahead of Clinton, or at worst only a few points behind.
The whole piece is well worth the read, but their conclusion (that should send chills up Democrat’s spines):
Trump survives a Latino surge in the South and West; Clinton fails to bring home young voters in the Southeast and Midwest; Libertarians give Trump a foothold in the Northeast; the Rust Belt puts the nail in the coffin—and with somewhere between 274 and 325 electoral votes, Donald J. Trump becomes the 45th president of the United States. Yes, the specifics could vary. But it’s clear Trump can cross the 270 electoral-vote threshold even on the low end, with plenty of cushion on the high end to make up for a state that slips through his fingers here or there.